中国农业机械化科学研究院集团有限公司 主管

北京卓众出版有限公司 主办

山西省农业机械化发展现状及影响因素

Development Situation and Influencing Factors of Agricultural Mechanization in Shanxi Province

  • 摘要: 机械化是促进农业生产力的重要标志,对山西省农业机械化动态变化情况进行分析,挖掘制约其均衡发展的主要因素,对精准制定山西省农业机械化发展策略具有重要意义。在对山西省2004—2019年农业机械化水平发展趋势比较分析的基础上,根据山西省农业机械化发展的特点及现状,运用主成分分析法提取了影响山西省农业机械化水平的2个主成分,并创建了多元线性回归模型。结果表明,除农业机械户年末机构数量和乡村农业机械从业人员数量呈负相关外,机电灌溉面积、机播面积、人均农业生产总值、机械植保面积、机收面积、机耕面积、大中型拖拉机数量、农村居民人均可支配收入、节水灌溉类机械数量与农业机械化水平均呈正相关,对山西省农业机械化发展具有显著的促进作用。因此,提高农机总动力,促进大中型农业机械的使用和农机具合理配套,同时保证农业生产总值、农村居民人均可支配收入的大幅度提高,是提高山西省农业机械化水平的重要举措。

     

    Abstract: Mechanization is an important symbol of promoting agricultural productivity.Dynamic changes of agricultural mechanization in Shanxi Province was analyzed and main factors restricting its balanced development were excavated.It is of great significance to accurately formulate development strategy of agricultural mechanization in Shanxi Province.Based on comparative analysis of development trend of agricultural mechanization level in Shanxi Province from 2004 to 2019, according to characteristics and current situation of agricultural mechanization development in Shanxi Province, two principal components affecting agricultural mechanization level in Shanxi Province were extracted by using principal component analysis method, and a multivariate linear regression model was established.Results showed that, in addition to negative correlation between number of agricultural machinery households at the end of the year and number of rural agricultural machinery employees, electromechanical irrigation area, machine seeding area, per capita agricultural production value, mechanical plant protection area, machine harvesting area, machine farming area, number of large and medium-sized tractors, per capita disposable income of rural residents, and number of water-saving irrigation machinery were all positively correlated with level of agricultural mechanization, it has a significant role in promoting development of agricultural mechanization in Shanxi Province.Therefore, to improve total power of agricultural machinery, promote use of large and medium-sized agricultural machinery and rational matching of agricultural machinery, and at the same time ensure substantial increase of agricultural production value and per capita disposable income of rural residents are important measures to improve level of agricultural mechanization in Shanxi Province.

     

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