中国农业机械化科学研究院集团有限公司 主管

北京卓众出版有限公司 主办

基于PSO-LSTM预测的农田智能灌溉系统设计

Design on intelligent irrigation system for farmland based on PSO-LSTM prediction

  • 摘要: 对基于长短期记忆网络(LSTM)预测的农田智能灌溉系统进行研究,提出基于PSO-LSTM的农田智能灌溉系统。以华北平原农作物种植区作为研究区,提取小麦灌溉日需水量相关样本数据构建数据集,同时对农田智能灌溉系统软硬件进行设计,并对提出的预测模型进行试验测试。结果表明,在小麦播种后到拔节前,基于PSO-LSTM的农田灌溉需水量预测模型的预测值曲线与实际需水量曲线几乎完全贴合,最大误差值0.01 mm/d、最小误差值0 mm/d;在抽穗到成熟期阶段模型预测值曲线十分逼近实际需水量曲线,最大误差值0.21 mm/d、最小误差值0 mm/d,MAE、MSE、RMSE和MAPE评价指标值分别为0.05110.0067、0.024和0.0103,与基于LSTM的预测模型相比,综合性能明显得到提高,预测精度更高,可以用于农田智能灌溉系统,为推动农业智能化发展提供参考。

     

    Abstract: An intelligent irrigation system for farmland based on long short-term memory networks(LSTM)prediction was studied, and a PSO-LSTM based intelligent irrigation system for farmland was proposed.Taking crop planting area of the North China Plain as a research area, a data set was constructed by extracting relevant sample data on wheat irrigation daily water demand.Software and hardware of intelligent irrigation systems for farmland were designed.Proposed prediction model was tested experimentally.Results showed that during wheat growth period from sowing to jointing, predicted value curve based on PSO-LSTM farmland irrigation water demand prediction model almost perfectly matched actual water demand curve, with a maximum error value of 0.01 mm/d and a minimum error value of 0 mm/d.Predicted value curve of model during heading to maturity stage was very close to actual water demand curve, with a maximum error value of 0.21 mm/d, a minimum error value of 0 mm/d, and MAE, MSE, RMSE, and MAPE evaluation index values were 0.0511, 0.0067, 0.024, and 0.0103, respectively.Compared with LSTM based prediction model, comprehensive performance was significantly improved and prediction accuracy was higher.It could be used in farmland intelligent irrigation systems and provide a reference for promoting agricultural intelligence development.

     

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