中国农业机械化科学研究院集团有限公司 主管

北京卓众出版有限公司 主办

四川省雨日季节时空变化特征分析

Seasonal temporal and spatial variation characteristics analysis of rainy days in Sichuan Province

  • 摘要: 基于1961—2024年四川省46个气象站点逐日降水量资料,采用趋势系数、经验正交函数、小波分析等方法,分析四川省春季、夏季、秋季和冬季4个季节雨日数的时空变化特征。结果表明:①四川省各个季节雨日数均呈显著下降趋势,其中秋季、夏季雨日数减少的现象最为显著,春季、冬季次之;②四川盆地西部地区、四川省西南地区和川黔滇3省交界处是雨日数高值分布地区,以雅安市和峨眉山市最为显著;③四川省各个季节雨日数变化趋势在空间上具有同增同减的特征,在时间上具有全区一致型、东西差异型和南北差异型3种特征;④四川省不同季节雨日数周期变化主要存在2个特征时间尺度,并且大多数是呈多种周期尺度相互嵌套的形式出现,有较强的局部特征。

     

    Abstract: Based on daily precipitation data from 46 meteorological stations in Sichuan Province from 1961 to 2024, temporal and spatial variation characteristics of rainy days frequency across spring, summer, autumn, and winter seasons were analyzed using methods including trend coefficient, empirical orthogonal function, and wavelet analysis.Results showed that, ① number of rainy days in different seasons of Sichuan Province showed a significant downward trend, with autumn and summer exhibiting the most significant reductions, followed by spring and winter.② Western Sichuan Basin, southwestern region of Sichuan Province, and junction of Sichuan, Guizhou, and Yunnan provinces constitute areas with high rainy day counts, most prominent in Ya'an City and Emeishan City.③ Seasonal variation in rainy day counts across Sichuan Province exhibit spatially simultaneous increase and decrease characteristics, while temporally displaying three distinct features: entire region consistent type, east-west differences, and north-south differences.④ Periodic variations in seasonal rainy days in Sichuan Province mainly has two characteristic time scales, with most patterns appearing as multiple periodic scales nested with each other, showing strong local characteristics.

     

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