中国农业机械化科学研究院集团有限公司 主管

北京卓众出版有限公司 主办

基于CRITIC-熵权与TOPSIS-PCA法对天水市水资源承载力的综合评估

Comprehensive evaluation of water resources carrying capacity in Tianshui City based on CRITIC-entropy weight and TOPSIS-PCA

  • 摘要: 我国半干旱区域城市水资源供需紧张,已成为制约城市可持续发展的重要瓶颈。针对这一现状,以甘肃省天水市为例,构建融合17项评价指标的水资源−社会−经济−生态综合性评价体系,为西北半干旱城市水资源的可持续管理提供理论参考。采用CRITIC−熵权法确定指标权重,通过PCA和TOPSIS法评估水资源承载水平,并使用障碍度模型识别关键限制因素。结果表明,2014—2023年天水市水资源承载力指标权重排名前3名分别是人口密度、生态环境用水率和万元工业增加值用水量。两种方法分析得出的综合评价值均呈上升趋势,评价等级由较差改善至中等。研究结果表明,在水资源子系统中,人均GDP、万元工业增加值用水量及人口密度障碍度最为显著,构成主要的约束瓶颈。

     

    Abstract: Water resource supply-demand tensions in China's semi-arid urban areas have become a critical bottleneck constraining sustainable urban development.Addressing this challenge, Tianshui City in Gansu Province was taken as an example to construct a comprehensive evaluation system integrating "water resources-society-economy-ecology" with 17 assessment indicators.A theoretical reference for sustainable water resource management in semi-arid cities of northwest China was provided.CRITIC-entropy weight method was used to determine index weights, while PCA and TOPSIS models assessed water resources carrying capacity levels, and obstacle degree model was used to identify key limiting factors.Results showed that from 2014 to 2023, top three weights of water resources carrying capacity indexes in Tianshui City were population density, ecological environment water use rate, and water consumption per 10000 yuan of industrial added value.Comprehensive evaluation values obtained from both methods showed an upward trend, with evaluation grade improving from poor to moderate.Within water resources subsystem, per capita GDP, water consumption per 10000 yuan of industrial added value, and population density exhibited the most significant impedance, constituting main constraint bottlenecks.

     

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