中国农业机械化科学研究院集团有限公司 主管

北京卓众出版有限公司 主办

基于面板数据的江西省农业机械总动力影响因素研究

Influencing Factors of Agricultural Machinery Total Power in Jiangxi Province Based on Panel Data

  • 摘要: 为明确影响农业机械总动力增长变化的主要原因,根据江西省1994—2018年的相关统计资料,选取种植结构、粮食产量、农民人均可支配收入、第一产业就业人员占比和江西省财政总收入5个影响江西省农机总动力增长的主要指标,采用多元回归分析法,解释影响江西省水稻农业机械化总动力变化的主要因素,包括粮食播种面积占比(即粮食作物播种面积占总农作物播种面积比值)和第一产业就业人员占比。结合江西省的实际情况提出稳定粮食播种面积,创造良好的耕作环境,综合考虑政策因素、技术因素因地制宜制定合理的补贴政策等具体对策及建议。

     

    Abstract: In order to determine main reasons for change of agricultural machinery total power,according to relevant statistical data of Jiangxi province from 1994 to 2018,five main indicators affecting total power growth of agricultural machinery in Jiangxi province were selected,including planting structure,grain output,per capita disposable income of farmers,proportion of employment in the primary industry and total financial income of Jiangxi province.By using method of stepwise multiple regression analysis,main factors influencing change of rice agricultural machinery total power in Jiangxi province were explained as planting structure(i.e.ratio of rice planting area to total planting area of crops)and proportion of the first industry employees.Combined with actual situation of Jiangxi province,some specific countermeasures and suggestions were put forward,such as stabilizing grain planting area,creating a good farming environment,comprehensively considering policy factors and technical factors,and formulating reasonable subsidy policies according to local conditions.

     

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