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胡启瑞,邓新建,甄建民,等.新疆且末县近50年红枣农业气候资源变化特征分析[J].农业工程,2023,13(8):74-80. DOI: 10.19998/j.cnki.2095-1795.2023.08.013
引用本文: 胡启瑞,邓新建,甄建民,等.新疆且末县近50年红枣农业气候资源变化特征分析[J].农业工程,2023,13(8):74-80. DOI: 10.19998/j.cnki.2095-1795.2023.08.013
HU Qirui,DENG Xinjian,ZHEN Jianmin,et al.Change characteristics of agricultural climate resources of red jujube in Qiemo County,Xinjiang in the last 50 years[J].Agricultural Engineering,2023,13(8):74-80. DOI: 10.19998/j.cnki.2095-1795.2023.08.013
Citation: HU Qirui,DENG Xinjian,ZHEN Jianmin,et al.Change characteristics of agricultural climate resources of red jujube in Qiemo County,Xinjiang in the last 50 years[J].Agricultural Engineering,2023,13(8):74-80. DOI: 10.19998/j.cnki.2095-1795.2023.08.013

新疆且末县近50年红枣农业气候资源变化特征分析

Change Characteristics of Agricultural Climate Resources of Red Jujube in Qiemo County,Xinjiang in the Last 50 Years

  • 摘要: 以红枣为研究对象,利用新疆且末县1971—2020年逐日气象数据资料,采用Mann-Kendall突变检测、小波分析和气候倾向率等方法,分析红枣生长季农业气候资源变化特征,为当地红枣产业适应气候变化提供科学依据。结果表明,红枣生长季平均气温和≥10 °C积温呈显著增加趋势,气候倾向率分别为0.36 °C/10年、98.4 °C·d/10年,分别在2003和2008年发生了由少到多的显著突变;降水量变化不明显,呈略微的增加趋势,年际间波动较大。日照时数呈减少趋势,在1981年发生由多到少的突变,气候倾向率为24.4 h/10年;夏季高温日数呈增加趋势,尤其以7月的增加显著,增加速率2.0 d/10年;夏季气温日较差平均15.8 °C,6—8月气温日较差均呈减少趋势,但变化不明显。春季、夏季的大风日数和沙尘日数均呈减少趋势,其中大风日数显著减少,沙尘日数年际分布不均。气候变化背景下,且末县红枣生长季光热资源丰富、气温日较差大,总体有利于红枣产量的提高,但开花坐果期高温日数的增加,对红枣生长发育有一定影响。

     

    Abstract: Taking red jujube as research object, using daily meteorological data from 1971 to 2020 in Qiemo County, Xinjiang, Mann-Kendall mutation detection, wavelet analysis, and climate tendency rate methods were used to analyze characteristics of agricultural climate resource changes during growth season of red jujube, providing scientific basis for local red jujube industry to adapt to climate change.Results showed that average temperature and accumulated temperature of ≥10 °C during growing season of red jujube showed a significant increasing trend, with climate tendency rates of 0.36 °C/10 years and 98.4( °C·d)/10 years, respectively.Significant mutations from less to more occurred in 2003 and 2008, respectively.Change in precipitation was not significant and showed a slight increase trend, with significant interannual fluctuations.Sunshine duration showed a decreasing trend, with a sudden change from more to less in 1981, with a climate tendency rate of 24.4 h/10 years.Number of high temperature days in summer showed an increasing trend, especially in July, with a significant increase rate of 2.0 days per decade.Average daily temperature range in summer was 15.8 °C, and daily temperature range from June to August showed a decreasing trend, but change was not significant.Number of strong wind days and dust days in spring and summer showed a decreasing trend, with a significant decrease in strong wind days and uneven distribution of dust days between years.Under background of climate change, Qiemo County has abundant light and heat resources during growth season of red jujube, with a large daily temperature range, which was generally beneficial for improving yield of red jujube.However, increase in number of high-temperature days during flowering and fruiting period has a certain impact on growth and development of red jujube.

     

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