中国农业机械化科学研究院集团有限公司 主管

北京卓众出版有限公司 主办

食用菌生长模型研究现状与发展趋势

Research status and development trends of edible fungi growth models

  • 摘要: 随着食用菌工厂化与智能化栽培加速推进,生长模型已成为环境调控、产量预测与质量管理的关键工具。围绕基质−菌丝−子实体的生物学链条,系统梳理经验模型、机理模型和智能模型3条技术路线及其应用进展。结果表明,经验模型构建简便、预测迅速,适用于工艺优化与在线放行,但在生理解释与跨场景泛化上不足;机理模型以“三库”思想刻画碳氮平衡、储备动员、维持消耗和阈值触发,能解释潮次和产量形成,但参数测定与校准成本较高;智能模型依托时序预测、目标检测和闭环控制,实现生长分期识别、质量分级和机器人采收,精度和实时性突出,但受数据规模、可解释性和可迁移性制约。总体看,研究正由经验为主走向机理与数据融合的灰箱范式,并与物联网、边缘计算和模型预测控制深度结合。未来应建设跨品种与跨场景的标准化数据集与评测体系,强化可解释约束与不确定度报告,发展数字孪生和多模态感知,推动生长模型在标准化、可复制和低能耗生产中的规模化应用。

     

    Abstract: With accelerated development of edible fungi industrialization and intelligent cultivation, growth models have become key tools for environmental control, yield prediction, and quality management.Focusing on biological chain of substrate-mycelium-fruiting body, three technical routes and their application progress were systematically reviewed, including empirical models, mechanistic models, and intelligent models.Results indicated that empirical models were easy to construct and provide rapid predictions, making them suitable for process optimization and online release.However, they lacked sufficient physiological explanation and cross-scenario generalization.Mechanism models describe carbon-nitrogen balance, reserve mobilization, maintenance consumption, and threshold triggering through a three-library concept, offering explanations for flush cycles and yield formation, but of parameter determination and calibration cost was high.Intelligent models relied on time-series forecasting, object detection, and closed-loop control to identify growth stages identification, quality classification, and robotic harvesting, with outstanding accuracy and real-time performance.However, they were constrained by data scale, interpretability, and transferability.Overall, research was shifting from an experience-driven approach toward a mechanism and data fusion gray-box paradigm, while deeply integrating with internet of things(IoT), edge computing, and model predictive control.Future efforts should focus on developing standardized datasets and evaluation systems accross varieties and scenarios, enhancing interpretability constraints and uncertainty reporting, advancing digital twins and multimodal perception, and promoting large-scale application of growth models in standardized, replicable, and low-energy production.

     

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